February 10, 2009 Oklahoma Tornadic Supercells
February 10, 2008: Simon, Juston Drake, and Shawn Maroney documented multiple tornadic and non-tornadic supercells across central Oklahoma. An unseasonably favorable setup for tornadic supercells appeared evident over the weekend prior to this day: an intense shortwave trough propagating across the southwestern U.S. and into Texas provided upper-level ascent, cold mid-level temperatures, more than adequate shear combined with Gulf moisture produced an environment favorable for severe weather in mid-February. My forecast focused on a region in the front left quadrant (left-exit-region) of the mid-level jet axis, west of the low-level jet axis, and over the region of the deep low-level moisture nose, which by Tuesday morning, the 10th of February, appeared would be across central Oklahoma by late afternoon. It appeared deep low-level pressure falls associated with a deepening surface low over the Texas Panhandle region in advance of the intense Southwestern U.S. trough would hold the dryline further west than initially anticipated Monday night across western Oklahoma and northwest Texas for most of the day Tuesday allowing relatively deep low-level moisture to advect northwest under very cold (~ -20 deg C) 500mb temperatures across central Oklahoma. I decided to play the edge of the deep low-level moisture nose, which was southwest to northeast orientated north of the I-44 corridor by mid-afternoon. It appeared the mid-level winds would be from the south-southwest, which would support a north-northeast storm motion, which would allow for stronger 'right-turning' storms to move northeast nearly parallel to this low-level moisture gradient. |
Image on the right is looking WSW at the third supercell of the day approaching our location. |
Image on the right shows a well-structured supercell approaching Edmond, OK. |
Image on the right shows a benign wall cloud approaching Edmond, OK. |
Image on the right shows a well-developed RFD gustfront as a supercell storm approaches Edmond, OK. |
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